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The FTSE 100 index continued to make new highs and traded mildly higher this morning above 8,400. The Dow Jones rose 2% for the week, and there were gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The Dow rise, however, was highly dependent on several stocks – Goldman Sachs hit a record on Friday and is up 17% in the last four weeks – accounting for a third of DJIA’s rally during that period.
Friday’s consumer sentiment survey from the US was weak. The 13% decline took it to the lowest in six months. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose from 3.2% last month to 3.5%.
Chinese Inflation
Overnight, China’s consumer inflation rose for a third month in a row, but producer prices fell again. PPI slid 2.5%. China’s CPI inflation rose 0.3% year-on-year in April, pointing to improving domestic demand, but the PPI slid 2.5%.
However, data showed soft credit demand, which sent Chinese equities lower for the session. Meanwhile, the PBOC is commencing a major bond-selling operation designed to stimulate the economy.
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Marknad
ETF:er
ETF:er
Råvaror:
Aktier
Valuta
Obligationer
Råvara
Index
Instrument
Porsche
Procter & Gamble
Roku Inc
Deere
Quanta Services
UniCredit
Rolls-Royce
Inditex
Deliveroo Holdings
Goldman Sachs
Coca-Cola Co (NYSE)
Infosys
Toro
ChargePoint Holdings Inc
Comcast
Chipotle
Campari
The Cheesecake Factory
Virgin Galactic
LVMH
Eni
Medtronic
ProSiebenSat.1
Qualcomm
BioNTech
SIG
Meta (Formerly Facebook)
Philip Morris
Visa
Schlumberger
SMCI
Plug Power
Nike
ADT
3D Systems
Pinterest Inc
Bristol Myers
Jumia Technologies
Broadcom
Upstart Holdings Inc
Salesforce.com
Amazon.com
Cinemark
Moderna Inc
AMC Entertainment Holdings
Air France-KLM
Glencore plc
Starbucks
Uber
Golar LNG
Pfizer
Palantir Technologies Inc
CrowdStrike Holdings
Mastercard
Blackrock
Vir Biotechnology
Toyota
Kuaishou
MerckCo USA
Cisco Systems
Porsche AG
II-VI
JD.com
Snap
JP Morgan
Lululemon
UPS
AIA
Deutsche Bank
Airbus Group SE
Zoom Video Communications
XPeng Inc
Trade Desk
AbbVie
Sartorius AG
Mondelez
Hammerson
CNOOC
Snowflake
Thermo Fisher
CCB (Asia)
Kraft Heinz
Unilever
China Life
eBay
Linde PLC
GameStop
UnitedHealth
ASOS
SAP
Barclays
Christian Dior
Wish.com Inc
AstraZeneca
FirstRand
SONY
CAT
Applied Materials
BlackBerry
ALIBABA HK
British American Tobacco
AT&T
Siemens
Diageo
Palo Alto Networks
Vipshop
Amgen
Prosus N.V.
ASML
Airbnb Inc
Lithium Americas Corp
JnJ
Wal-Mart Stores
Nasdaq
Exxon Mobil
McDonald's
Shopify
Hermes
Iberdrola
Peloton Interactive Inc.
Apple
Volkswagen
Marriott
Sea
Micron
Conoco Phillips
Morgan Stanley
Ford
Upwork Inc.
Nel ASA
Bank of America
Accenture
Santander
Abbott
Trump Media & Technology Group
Royal Bank Canada
UiPath Inc
Spotify
Fedex
LUCID
Anglo American
Allianz
Dave & Buster's
Shell plc (LSE)
Xiaomi
Adidas
Skillz Inc
HDFC Bank
Cellnex
Freeport McMoRan
Wells Fargo
PepsiCo
Berkshire Hathaway
Lockheed Martin
Coinbase Inc
HSBC
Target
Netflix
Vonovia
PayPal
DISNEY
Invesco Mortgage
Blackstone
Boeing Co
Lumentum Holdings
Canopy Growth
Beyond Meat
Block
Qorvo
Delivery Hero SE
Teladoc
Unity Software
PG&E
Microsoft
Gilead
Li Auto
Chevron
Naspers
BP
MercadoLibre.com
Alibaba
New Oriental
CarMax
Lemonade
Citigroup
Two Harbors Investment aration
Taiwan Semi
Total
Bayer
Marston's
Twilio
Home Depot
Oracle
Gen Digital Inc
Baidu
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd
T-Mobile
Norwegian Cruise Line
ON Semiconductor
American Express
Macy's
Vodafone
L'Oreal
Tesla
Robinhood
Nio
Lloyds
Aptiv PLC
Novavax
Norwegian Air Shuttle
American Airlines
TUI
Annaly Capital
RTX Corp
NVIDIA
Adobe
General Motors
PETROCHINA
Aurora Cannabis Inc
Barrick Gold
Fuelcell
General Electric
Anheuser-Busch Inbev
Continental
Eli Lilly
F5 Networks
Etsy
Hubspot
easyJet
Telecom Italia
Ceconomy
Rio Tinto
AMD
Cameco
Arista
Tencent
British American Tobacco
DeltaAir
Verizon
Airbus
Lufthansa
Teleperformance
GSX Techedu
Rivian Automotive
Wayfair
IBM
Bilibili Inc
HSBC HK
Occidental
Lyft
IAG
Costco
Tilray
Fresnillo
Intel
ROBLOX Corp
BASF
Workday Inc
GoPro
DoorDash
Electrolux
Alphabet (Google)
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More Interest Rate Hikes?
How tight is tight? Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said it's not clear if monetary policy is tight enough. “There are also important upside risks to inflation that are on my mind, and I think there's also uncertainties about how restrictive policy is and whether it's sufficiently restrictive to keep us on this path,” she said on Friday.
US Inflation Data
Key US inflation data might give her an answer. US inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 3.5% in the year to March, the third hot CPI print in a row, forcing traders to slash bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Core US inflation also rose more than expected, rising to 2.8% year-on-year.
The data for April will be crucial to how markets see the Fed progressing. Goods inflation is expected to decline a bit, but core services inflation will likely remain a little too hot for the Fed’s liking. CPI for April is seen at +0.3% month-on-month, ticking down to 3.4% YoY. Despite the resilience of US inflation, the message from the Fed remains one of easing to come – cuts are in the mail.
Federal Reserve to Push Back Cuts Even Further?
It’s a quiet start to the week and all attention is on the US CPI later in the week – take a chill pill.
Here is Stifel on the effects of the US inflation report on interest rate forecasts:
“The next 500 points for the S&P 500 are down... the Fed already harvested all the normal post-recession disinflation we would expect. As a result, the sustained 2% Core PCE inflation the Fed seeks is a pipe dream ... we expect Fed rate cuts to be pushed back further, causing a middle quarters correction for equities.”
Meanwhile, on Friday, the final CPI inflation data for the Eurozone is expected to show disinflation easing, but it’s unlikely to be anything significant enough to prevent the European Central Bank from cutting rates in June.
Crude Oil Rallies
Crude oil rallied off our 50% retracement level after declining quite sharply on Friday.
At the time of writing on Monday, May 13, the continuous contract for Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, was trading at $83.09, up close to 0.4% on the day.
The continuous contract for US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up 0.41% at $78.58.
When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss.
Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice.
SV
